algorithm | period | MAE | MAPE (in%) | algorithm | period | MAE | MAPE (in %) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
lm | 1 | 14.27 | 6.7 | lm | 730 | 10.59 | 8.6 |
glmnet | 1 | 14.31 | 6.8 | lm | 1 | 10.59 | 8.6 |
gbm | 730 | 14.33 | 6.8 | glmnet | 1 | 10.60 | 8.6 |
lm | 7 | 14.33 | 6.8 | lm | 7 | 10.62 | 8.6 |
lm | 365 | 14.34 | 6.8 | gbm | 1 | 10.63 | 8.6 |
glmnet | 7 | 14.37 | 6.8 | glmnet | 7 | 10.64 | 8.6 |
glmnet | 365 | 14.38 | 6.8 | glmnet | 730 | 10.64 | 8.5 |
gbm | 7 | 14.40 | 6.8 | gbm | 7 | 10.71 | 8.7 |
lm | 60 | 14.47 | 6.8 | gbm | 730 | 10.78 | 8.7 |
glmnet | 60 | 14.47 | 6.8 | lm | 365 | 10.80 | 8.7 |
glmnet | 1 | 14.49 | 6.9 | glmnet | 365 | 10.82 | 8.7 |
lm | 30 | 14.50 | 6.8 | lm | 30 | 10.84 | 8.8 |
glmnet | 30 | 14.50 | 6.8 | glmnet | 30 | 10.84 | 8.8 |
gbm | 30 | 14.52 | 6.9 | lm | 60 | 10.86 | 8.8 |
gbm | 60 | 14.52 | 6.9 | glmnet | 60 | 10.87 | 8.8 |
gbm | 365 | 14.53 | 6.9 | rf | 1 | 10.93 | 8.9 |
rf | 1 | 14.55 | 6.9 | gbm | 365 | 10.96 | 8.9 |
glmnet | 730 | 14.58 | 6.8 | gbm | 30 | 11.00 | 8.9 |
lm | 730 | 14.60 | 6.9 | rf | 7 | 11.08 | 9.0 |
rf | 7 | 14.66 | 6.9 | gbm | 60 | 11.15 | 9.0 |
rf | 730 | 14.73 | 6.9 | rf | 60 | 11.21 | 9.1 |
rf | 365 | 14.76 | 7.0 | rf | 30 | 11.21 | 9.1 |
rf | 60 | 15.02 | 7.1 | rf | 365 | 11.49 | 9.2 |
rf | 30 | 15.08 | 7.1 | rf | 730 | 11.51 | 9.0 |
knn | 1 | 15.52 | 7.3 | knn | 7 | 12.55 | 10.1 |
knn | 7 | 15.53 | 7.3 | knn | 1 | 12.60 | 10.1 |
knn | 730 | 15.61 | 7.4 | knn | 30 | 12.75 | 10.2 |
knn | 365 | 15.62 | 7.4 | knn | 60 | 12.78 | 10.2 |
knn | 30 | 15.75 | 7.4 | knn | 730 | 12.81 | 10.1 |
knn | 60 | 15.93 | 7.5 | knn | 365 | 12.81 | 10.1 |
(a) St Mary’s Hospital | (b) Charing Cross Hospital |