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Table 2 Error rates for all time series algorithms for St Mary’s and Charing Cross Hospital

From: A unified machine learning approach to time series forecasting applied to demand at emergency departments

  

St Mary’s Hospital:

Charing Cross Hospital:

algorithm

days

MAE

MAPE (in %)

MAE

MAPE (in %)

 

1

15.29

7.2

12.33

10.1

ARIMA

3

15.68

7.4

14.75

12.2

 

7

15.58

7.4

13.81

11.4

 

1

14.47

6.9

10.46

8.5

ETS

3

16.89

8.0

17.60

14.6

 

7

16.18

7.6

14.55

11.8

 

1

14.54

6.9

10.72

8.7

StructTS

3

17.35

8.2

17.86

14.8

 

7

16.54

7.8

14.72

12.0

 

1

14.51

6.9

10.59

8.6

STLM

3

16.67

7.9

16.83

13.9

 

7

16.00

7.6

14.28

11.6